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Chelsea vs Burnley Betting Tips

By Sport88 Staff

30 Jan 2021

Sport88 Staff 30 Jan 2021

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Chelsea vs Burnley predictions for Sunday’s English Premier League match
Chelsea have won by 2+ goals in their last 3 EPL matches against Burnley
Burnley have failed to score in 6 their last 8 away matches
Preview, stats, team news & predictions

Tammy Abraham can lead Chelsea to victory against Burnley (Getty Images)

Chelsea Form

Chelsea have won 4-0 at home against Morecambe in the FA Cup with Mason Mount, Timo Werner, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Kai Havertz on target.

The Blues then won 1-0 at Fulham in the Premier League. Mount scored the winner in the 78th minute after the hosts were reduced to 10 men.

Frank Lampard's side lost 2-0 at Leicester and his last match in charge was a 3-1 home win against Luton in the FA Cup. Tammy Abraham scored all three goals but the club decided to make a change and bring in Thomas Tuchel.

Tuchel’s first match in charge was a 0-0 draw against Wolves at home. They bossed the game with 79% possession but lacked incision up front, unable to find a winner after Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham and Mason Mount came off the bench.

Chelsea Team News

Midfielder N’Golo Kante is the only doubt for Chelsea but recently returned to training and could be on the bench here.

Thomas Tuchel named a surprising starting side in his Chelsea debut. We could see a switch to a back four here with Mason Mount, Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham and Timo Werner chances to start.

Burnley Form

Burnley have given themselves some breathing room in the Premier League. They lost 1-0 against Manchester United and West Ham before a shock 1-0 at Liverpool with Ashley Barnes scoring a late penalty.

The Clarets backed up with a 3-0 win at Fulham in the FA Cup. Jay Rodriguez scored the first two goals and assisted Kevin Long for the third.

Sean Dyche’s side returned to the Premier League with a 3-2 home win against Aston Villa. Ben Mee and Dwight McNeil equalised with Chris Wood putting them ahead, an unlikely win after having 38% possession and 0.72-2.71 expected goals.

Burnley Team News

Left back Charlie Taylor is doubtful alongside central midfielder Josh Brownhill who was forced off against Aston Villa.

Former Chelsea midfielder Jack Cork could make his first Premier League start of the season if Brownhill fails to recover in time.

Head to Head

Chelsea have a 39-38 advantage against Burnley with 24 draws in 101 matches.

Chelsea have won the last three encounters including 3-0 in Burnley in October. Hakim Ziyech, Kurt Zouma and Timo Werner scored in an easy win.

Predictions

Chelsea bossed Wolves in Thomas Tuchel’s first match in charge but couldn’t find a break through. I think they will rectify that and beat Burnley to nil.

Chelsea have won by 2+ goals in 2 of their last 3 home matches (all competitions).
Chelsea’s Tammy Abraham has scored 5 goals in his last 2 starts at home (all competitions).
Chelsea have won by 2+ goals in their last 3 matches against Burnley (Premier League).
Chelsea have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Burnley (Premier League).
Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in their last 7 matches against Burnley (Premier League).
Burnley have lost 2 of their last 3 away matches (Premier League).
Burnley have failed to score in 6 their last 8 away matches (Premier League).
Burnley have registered under 0.97 expected goals in 4 of their last 5 matches (Premier League).

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Verdict

Chelsea v Burnley

Burnley were lucky against Aston Villa. Chelsea had 79% possession against Wolves, I am backing the Blues to win to nil with Tammy Abraham to score first.