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Burnley vs Man City Betting Tips

By Sport88 Staff

02 Feb 2021

Sport88 Staff 02 Feb 2021

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Burnley vs Man City predictions for Wednesday’s Premier League match
Man City have won to nil in 6 of their last 7 matches against Burnley
Preview, stats, team news & predictions

Ilkay Gundogan has scored 6 goals in his last 7 EPL matches (Getty Images)

Burnley Form

Burnley recently suffered 1-0 defeats against Manchester United and West Ham. They pulled off a shock 1-0 at Liverpool with Ashley Barnes scoring a late penalty.

The Clarets backed up with a 3-0 win at Fulham in the FA Cup. Jay Rodriguez scored the first two goals and assisted Kevin Long for the third.

Sean Dyche’s side returned to the Premier League with a 3-2 home win against Aston Villa despite having 38% possession and 0.72-2.71 expected goals.

Burnley’s last match was a 2-0 defeat against Chelsea in London. They were completely outplayed, registering only 1 shot and 29% possession.

Burnley Team News

Left back Charlie Taylor is doubtful alongside central midfielder Josh Brownhill who was injured against Aston Villa.

Striker Ashley Barnes played no part in Burnley's defeat at Chelsea and is also doubtful. Jay Rodriguez could come into the starting side here.

Manchester City Form

Manchester City are in sensational form, winning by 2+ goals 9 of their last 11 matches in all competitions. They have kept 15 clean sheets in their last 19 matches.

Pep Guardiola’s side won to nil in four straight home matches including 3-0 against Birmingham in the FA Cup. They followed up with a 1-0 win against Brighton, 4-0 win against Crystal Palace and 2-0 win against Aston Villa.

Man City suffered a scare in the FA Cup before winning 3-1 at Cheltenham Town. They were trailing 1-0 in the 81st minute before late goals to Phil Foden, Gabriel Jesus and Ferran Torres.

Man City then won 5-0 at West Brom. It was a comfortable victory with Ilkay Gundogan (2), João Cancelo, Riyad Mahrez and Raheem Sterling on target.

Man City’s last match was a 1-0 home win against Sheffield United. Ferran Torres created the opener for Gabriel Jesus in the 9th minute, another easy win after having 75% possession and 1.53-0.15 expected goals.

Manchester City Team News

Manchester City are missing centre back Nathan Aké and midfielder Kevin De Bruyne due to injury.

Sergio Aguero is back in training after testing positive for COVID-19 but lacking match fitness.

Guardiola could make some changes here with John Stones, Joao Cancelo, Rodrigo, Riyad Mahrez and Raheem Sterling coming into the starting side.

Head to Head

Man City have a 51-30 advantage against Burnley with 25 draws in 106 matches.

Man City have won 11 of the last 12 encounters including 5-0 at home in November. Man City have won by 3+ goals in their last four matches against Burnley.

Predictions

Man City have battered Burnley in recent years and another big win is expected on Wednesday. Ilkay Gundogan remains on the bet slip after scoring 6 goals in his last 7 Premier League matches.

Burnley have lost to nil in 4 of their last 7 matches (Premier League).
Burnley have registered under 0.72 expected goals in 4 of their last 5 matches (Premier League).
Man City have won by 3+ goals in 6 of their last 7 matches against Burnley (all competitions).
Man City have won to nil in 6 of their last 7 matches against Burnley (all competitions).
Man City have won by 2+ goals 9 of their last 11 matches (all competitions).
Man City have won to nil in 7 of their last 8 matches (all competitions).
Man City’s Ilkay Gundogan has scored 6 goals in his last 7 matches (Premier League).

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Verdict

Burnley v Man City

Burnley were completely outplayed against Chelsea and never looked like scoring. They have a terrible recent record against Man City with another thrashing on the cards at Turf Moor.

Ilkay Gundogan got into position to score a number of times against Sheffield United with his teammates choosing other options. He remains the value play in the goal scoring markets after scoring 6 goals in his last 7 Premier League matches.